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F I S C A L I M P A C T R E P O R T



SPONSOR: Aragon DATE TYPED: 3-12-99 HB
SHORT TITLE: Cigarette Tax Revenue Distribution SB 653\aSFl#1
ANALYST: Taylor

REVENUE



Estimated Revenue
Subsequent

Years Impact

Recurring

or Non-Rec

Fund

Affected

FY99 FY2000
N.A. $ 360.0 $ 0.0 Non-Rec General Fund
N.A. $ (189.0) $ (189.0) Recurring General Fund
N.A. $ 4,346.0 $ 4,346.0 Recurring UNM Cancer Center
N.A. $ 871.0 $ 871.0 Recurring Public Schools

(Parenthesis ( ) Indicate Revenue Decreases)



Companion to SB-654

SOURCES OF INFORMATION



Taxation and Revenue Department



SUMMARY



Synopsis of SFl#1 Amendment



The Senate floor amendment redirected 3 cents of the cigarette tax increase that would have gone to the state general fund to the University of New Mexico Cancer Center.



Fiscal Impact of SFl#1 Amendment



As a result of the senate floor amendment 5 cents of the 6 cent cigarette increase are directed to the cancer center and one cent is directed to the State Department of Education for smoking education and cessation programs. The distribution of the cigarette tax increase are shown in the table at the top of the page. The gain to the general fund shown in FY 2000 and the offsetting loss shown in the subsequent year column are due to two factors. The 6 cents price increase is expected to decrease demand, resulting in a $189 thousand recurring revenue loss. However in the first year, the cigarette inventory tax yields a $360 thousand non-recurring revenue gain; so the net effect in the first year is a positive $171 thousand impact to the general fund.





Synopsis of Bill



Senate Bill 653 distributes cigarette tax revenues to various beneficiaries. The distributions provided in the bill are contingent upon passage of a 6 cent per pack cigarette tax increase (contained in Senate Bill 654). The additional six cents would be shared by the University of New Mexico Cancer Center, the State Department of Education and the state's general fund. The cancer center would receive 2 cents; the State Department of Education 1 cent; and the general fund the remaining 3 cents. The distribution to the State Department of Education would be passed through to the school districts for smoking prevention and cessation programs. The school district distribution would be determined on a per program unit basis by adding the annual revenue to the state equalization guarantee. The other distributional changes included in the bill were designed to be roughly revenue neutral.



FISCAL IMPLICATIONS



The table shown at the top of the first page shows the additional revenues that the cancer center, the public schools and the general fund would receive provided the 6 cent cigarette tax increase passes. TRD notes that there is also a $360 thousand non-recurring impact to the general fund in FY 2000 due to the impact on the cigarette inventory tax.



The cigarette tax is expected to yield $833 thousand per penny of tax. This is lower than was assumed last year when a penny was expected to raise about $900 thousand. The lower yield is based on recent cigarette price increases and a pending federal cigarette tax increase. The higher cigarette prices are expected to decrease consumption and thus the revenue yield. The standard assumption is that a ten percent increase in the price of cigarettes results in a 4 percent decrease in consumption.

BT/gm